BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Fresno St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 16 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (8-1) Overall: (12-2) Overall Strength = 172.54
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/01/2018 Home W 190.72 79 13 1B 52 ( 4- 7) Idaho 17.98 * 48.02
2 09/08/2018 Away L 155.19 14 21 1A 50 ( 6- 6) Minnesota -17.54 10.54
3 09/15/2018 Away W 181.12 38 14 1A 70 ( 3- 9) UCLA 8.38 15.62
4 09/29/2018 Home W 177.11 49 27 1A 64 ( 7- 5) Toledo 4.37 17.63
5 10/06/2018 Away W * 175.05 21 3 1A 72 ( 7- 5) Nevada 2.31 15.69
6 10/13/2018 Home W * 175.09 27 3 1A 78 ( 6- 6) Wyoming 2.36 21.64
7 10/20/2018 Away W * 175.38 38 7 1A 104 ( 3- 9) New Mexico 2.65 28.35
8 10/27/2018 Home W * 173.64 50 20 1A 99 ( 8- 5) Hawaii 0.91 29.09
9 11/03/2018 Away W * 188.59 48 3 1A 108 ( 4- 8) UNLV 15.85 29.15
10 11/09/2018 Away L * 163.49 17 24 1A 25 ( 10- 3) Boise St -9.24 2.24
11 11/17/2018 Home W * 158.95 23 14 1A 73 ( 7- 5) San Diego St -13.78 22.78
12 11/24/2018 Home W * 157.09 31 13 1A 111 ( 1- 11) San Jose St -15.65 * 33.65
13 12/01/2018 Away W * 173.49 19 16 1A 25 ( 10- 3) Boise St 0.76 2.24
14 12/15/2018 Neutral W 173.38 31 20 1A 43 ( 7- 6) Arizona St 0.65 10.35
Averages 172.74 34.6 14.1
Best game: 190.72 = 66 point win over Idaho
Worst game: 155.19 = 7 point loss to Minnesota
Team stdev: 10.78